Projected 2013 MLB Standings

Continuing and refining the methods from the previous post, here are the projected standings for both leagues, as of the start of spring training.  I'm so happy baseball finally started.

The runs (+24) and wins (+16) are slightly out of balance, but this is more or less square.  A lot of projections systems have published their individual results now.  Rotochamp is a good place to see all the results for a player.  Or fangraphs.  But most places don't seem to take this last step and get to the team results.

What's interesting here?  Well, I don't see Toronto running away with anything.  They look just fairly good, but that's all.   They got a few players, but they were really not good last year and most of the roster is those guys.  Cleveland, kind of same story.  A few new guys that are good, but the base is just not strong.  Detroit should run away with the division, and have a good shot at the league, but several NL teams look stronger.  Josh Hamilton remains literally one man, so the improvement in the Angels is minimal, as is the degradation in Texas.  The Astros and the Marlins both completely gave up this year, but the Astros look a little better and it ends up the Marlins bringing up the rear.
Over in the NL, Washington looks like the best team in baseball, with just fantastic pitching (assuming Haren is healthy enough, and Gonzalez doesn't get suspended) and pretty strong balanced offense.  Cincinnati is right there with them.  They have the clear best offense in the NL, and the pitching is pretty decent (assuming Chapman transitions decently to starter)
The Dodgers makeover on the other hand, looks real.    As a Dodger fan, this is comforting.  I did not give them any benefits of the doubt.  In fact, I'm hopeful some of their questions get resolved favorably and they get past the very strong Washington & Cincinnati squads.   The Giants are a notch worse than the Dodgers on both sides of the ball, but they look a good bet for the wildcard.  Arizona looks OK, but comes up short on talent (grit, they have).

	RS	RA		W	L
x-Tampa Bay	725	638		90	72
y-New York	765	691		89	73
Toronto	763	702		87	75
Boston	770	737		84	78
Baltimore	704	770		74	88
*-Detroit	772	665		92	70
Kansas City	699	715		79	83
Chicago	694	721		78	84
Cleveland	708	798		72	90
Minnesota	645	795		66	96
x-Angels	792	700		90	72
y-Texas	787	712		88	74
A's	723	700		83	79
Mariners	665	696		78	84
Astros	658	839		63	99

	RS	RA		W	L
*-Washington	725	594		98	64
y-Atlanta	698	653		87	75
Philadelphia	652	663		80	82
New York	640	735		69	93
Miami	606	787		59	103
x-Cincinnati	768	641		96	66
St. Louis	685	663		84	78
Milwaukee	702	699		81	81
Chicago	672	700		78	84
Pittsburgh	671	707		77	85
x-Los Angeles	706	597		95	67
y-San Francisco	687	613		91	71
Arizona	687	647		86	76
San Diego	649	709		74	88
Colorado	741	848		70	92