Thursday, September 18, 2008

daily election update


Good day for Obama. He now has a 55% chance of winning, with a mean of 274 EV. I decided to go for 10k simulations so the histogram would look a little smoother.

Election-Projection is another site that simulates off poll results, like fivethirtyeight.com. In my opinion the fivethirtyeight methodology is better.

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