Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Daily update

My simulated results Obama uptick today: now has a mean of 259 EV, and has a 44.4% chance of winning. The point of the methodology is to be responsive to daily events, so I'll try to update daily, and eventually produce historical graphs.

1 comment:

Estolano in San Diego said...

I don't think I'd become a bookie were I you.

It seems clear to me that Obama is more likely to win than McCain given the favorable climate for dems in general.

But, I could be wrong. In the words of the immortal C. Daniels, I'll take your bet, you're gonna regret..

Say tickets to a baseball game?